日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

We might have been in the eye of the storm

By Stephen S. Roach | China Daily | Updated: 2013-08-29 09:52

As the US Federal Reserve attempts to exit from its unprecedented policy of massive purchases of long-term assets, many high-flying emerging economies are suddenly finding themselves in a vise. Currency and stock markets in India and Indonesia are plunging, with collateral damage evident in Brazil, South Africa, and Turkey.

The Fed insists that it is blameless the same absurd position that it took in the aftermath of the Great Crisis of 2008 to 2009, when it maintained that its excessive monetary accommodation had nothing to do with the property and credit bubbles that nearly pushed the world into the abyss. It remains steeped in denial: Were it not for the interest-rate suppression that quantitative easing has imposed on developed countries since 2009, the search for yield would not have flooded emerging economies with short-term "hot" money.

But there is plenty of blame to go around, the Fed is hardly alone in embracing unconventional monetary easing. Moreover, the aforementioned emerging economies all have one thing in common large current-account deficits.

A large current-account deficit is the classic symptom of a pre-crisis economy living beyond its means in effect, investing more than it is saving. The only way to sustain economic growth in the face of such an imbalance is to borrow surplus savings from abroad.

That is where quantitative easing came into play. It provided a surplus of yield-seeking capital from investors in developed countries, thereby allowing emerging economies to remain on high-growth trajectories. Research from the International Monetary Fund puts emerging markets' cumulative capital inflows at close to $4 trillion since the onset of quantitative easing in 2009. Enticed by the siren song of a shortcut to rapid economic growth, these inflows lulled emerging-market countries into believing that their imbalances were sustainable, enabling them to avoid the discipline needed to put their economies on more stable and viable paths.

This is an endemic feature of the modern global economy. Rather than owning up to the economic slowdown that current-account deficits signal accepting a little less growth today for more sustainable growth in the future politicians and policymakers opt for risky growth gambits that ultimately backfire.

That has been the case in developing Asia, not just in India and Indonesia today, but also in the 1990s, when sharply widening current-account deficits were a harbinger of the wrenching financial crisis of 1997 to 1998. But it has been equally true of the developed world.

Previous 1 2 Next

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 免费精品一区 | 最近2019中文字幕大全第二页 | 久久久一区二区三区四区 | 日韩三级在线观看视频 | 欧美日韩国产中文 | 国产午夜大片 | 免费v片在线观看 | 亚洲无av在线中文字幕 | 91高跟黑色丝袜呻吟在线观看 | 国产三级中文字幕 | 在线欧美亚洲 | 亚洲天堂一区在线观看 | 免费在线性爱视频 | 黄色片入口 | 免费的黄色av | 人人搞人人插 | 超碰成人福利 | 91在线日韩| 久久在线免费视频 | 国产性xxxx | 久草不卡| 中文字幕日韩一区二区 | 中文字幕综合网 | 国产一区二区三区在线 | 91精品免费在线观看 | 中文有码在线播放 | 日本久久精品 | 黄色亚洲视频 | 国产日韩欧美综合在线 | 亚洲一卡二卡在线 | 国产黄色影视 | 国产一区欧美 | 亚洲成a人片在线 | 在线免费观看黄色av | 伊人网在线视频 | 日韩午夜精品视频 | 久久久伦理 | 国产精品成人免费一区久久羞羞 | 日本中文字幕在线播放 | 国产精品毛片一区二区三区 | 福利姬在线播放 |