日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
China
Home / China / Across America

Could Fed's QE-3 tapering come as soon as September?

By Zhang Yuwei | China Daily | Updated: 2013-08-22 11:09

Could Fed's QE-3 tapering come as soon as September?

Zhang Yuwei|New York Journal

Despite some concerns over the outlook for the US economy for the second half of the year and no fixed dates proposed, the Federal Reserve's tapering off its massive bond-purchasing stimulus program is underway.

The release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's late July meeting on Wednesday showed that policymakers came closer to scaling back the $85 billion-a-month program in government bonds and mortgage-backed securities - the so-called Quantitative Easing round 3 - which was launched to hold down long-term interest rates and boost the economy.

The official summary, however, showed that the 12 members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) offered no hints on timing for the tapering. From the Fed's previous signals, September and December are considered as the most likely months when it will take place.

"A few members emphasized the importance of being patient and evaluating additional information on the economy before deciding on any changes to the pace of asset purchases," according to the minutes.

US stocks fell after the minutes were released while long-dated US government bond yields rose, with the dollar gaining against the yen and euro.

"The minutes have not shed much light on when the Fed will start to taper, though the market appears to be pricing in a September start, and the Treasury yield is just under a two-year high," said Joseph Lake, an economist with the Economist Intelligence Unit in New York.

Lake said that the decision to taper will be guided by economic data, which could still change the narrative between now and the next FOMC meeting in September.

Sophii Weng, an economist with Standard Chartered Bank in New York, said the minutes support the British Bank's view that the Fed will "reduce bond-buying in the September meeting".

Weng said the reason being that "there seems to be a consensus building behind Bernanke's tapering timeline within the FOMC".

"The FOMC still awaits more signs (data) of a pick-up in growth," said Weng.

Regarding demand, FOMC members do not seem worried about higher mortgage rates, said Weng.

The minutes also showed that the Fed is discussing a possible reduction in the unemployment threshold - currently at 6.5 percent - for an increase in interest rates.

"The minutes show 'support' for the current thresholds for forward guidance for the federal funds target rate, although some members still see potential modification as a possibility if additional accommodation is needed," Weng added.

One thing concerning an improved economy to look at is the job numbers. The July - or the latest - unemployment rate was at 7.4 percent, 0.2 point down from June and 0.5 down from January, which was considered as "declined", with jobless claims in early August falling to their lowest level in almost six years.

"In considering the likely path for the Committee's asset purchases, members discussed the degree of improvement in the labor market outlook since the purchase program began last fall," said the minutes. "The unemployment rate had declined considerably since then, and recent gains in payroll employment had been solid."

"Economic data in recent months have been largely positive; trade, manufacturing and housing have all been strong," said Lake.

"If steady economic progress is maintained, there is a good chance that the Fed could announce a reduction in its asset purchases at its September meeting," said Lake. "This depends, however, on continued economic momentum. The Fed could maintain or even increase asset purchases if the recovery is threatened."

The signal of tapering was first brought up by the Fed's chairman Ben Bernanke in June when he indicated the stimulus program could be scaled back later this year with the aim of halting them by mid 2014, if the economy continues to improve.

"If economic conditions were to improve faster than expected, and inflation appeared to be rising decisively back toward our objective, the pace of asset purchases could be reduced somewhat more quickly," Bernanke said in July before the House Financial Services Committee.

But the Fed's chief message left investors - at home and abroad - speculating and even worried immediately after the message.

Chinese shares responded with a strong slump as the Shanghai Composite Index dropped in one day to its lowest point in nearly seven months after Bernanke's remarks about exiting the QE3 back in June.

"What the market will likely take away from these minutes is that Bernanke's thresholds given in June - QE ending when the unemployment rate reaches 7 percent, expected by mid-2014 - were actually broadly supported," said Weng.

Polar icebreaker Snow Dragon arrives in Antarctic
Xi's vision on shared future for humanity
Air Force units explore new airspace
Premier Li urges information integration to serve the public
Dialogue links global political parties
Editor's picks
Beijing limits signs attached to top of buildings across city
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美成人精品一区二区三区在线看 | 亚洲蜜臀av乱码久久精品蜜桃 | 色综合中文 | 97色在线视频 | 麻豆久久久 | 欧美激情综合五月色丁香 | 九九久久视频 | 一级片毛片 | 亚洲福利久久 | 亚洲精品久久久久久久久久久 | 久操精品在线 | 99精品免费| 久久b | 国产午夜精品一区二区三区视频 | 国产精品九九九九九九 | 一区二区视频在线播放 | 亚洲黄色大片 | 91九色视频 | 国产做a视频 | 久久久久久久久久久国产精品 | www.xxxx日本| 欧美成在线观看 | 日韩在线视频网址 | 久久国产精品免费观看 | 岛国精品在线观看 | 天天操天天干天天舔 | 伊人网综合视频 | 欧美成人精品一区 | 99视频+国产日韩欧美 | 国产精品入口麻豆九色 | 成人羞羞国产免费 | 亚洲视频成人 | 黄色免费看网站 | 欧美色亚洲| 一区二区免费在线观看视频 | 久久久久1 | 天天做夜夜操 | 伊人春色影院 | 亚洲69视频 | 探花av在线 | www.色婷婷.com |