Analysis: Democratic battle helps McCain
Updated: 2008-03-31 17:09
WASHINGTON -- John McCain's standing in the presidential race grows stronger each day as he benefits from the increasingly personal and extraordinarily protracted Democratic nomination fight between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama.
 Republican presidential candidate, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., left, and former Republican presidential hopeful, Mitt Romney talk with reporters Thursday, March 27, 2008, in Salt Lake City. [Agencies] |
Not that he will publicly recognize his advantage.
"I'm glad to be where we are" but "there's a lot of hard work to do," the certain GOP nominee told The Associated Press last week, dismissing the notion that he has an upper hand for the general election as the Democratic primary tussle continues.
Even with the Clinton-Obama struggle, polls show either candidate would be in a tight race with McCain, who readily lists a host of tall-order tasks ahead. He must raise money to compete with better-funded Democrats, energize a party that was divided over his candidacy, introduce himself to voters beyond his Vietnam war-hero status, and outline a vision amid a call for change after eight years of President Bush.
A politician for nearly three decades, McCain also has been around long enough to know that his fortunes could shift overnight if the political environment changes. Outside events could pose problems, such as the intense fighting in the Iraqi city of Basra that could undercut his claim that the troop-increase strategy is working and that U.S. troops should not pull out.
Given all that, it's easy to understand McCain's cautiousness.Still, his advisers -- and Republicans at large -- can hardly contain their glee at the continuing Democratic fight.
"There's a sense that we have an opportunity to win the national election when we didn't have a prayer six months ago," said Terry Holt, a Republican and adviser to Bush's re-election campaign.
The 2008 headwinds in their favor, Democrats spent much of last year crowing about their record fundraising and enthusiastic party activists, while GOP loyalists lamented bleak prospects in light of Bush's low marks in polls and the unpopular Iraq war.
Those strengths and weaknesses still hold true.
But now, there's no question among Republicans and Democrats alike that McCain appears better positioned than he was just weeks ago while Clinton and Obama look more battered every day. While the Republican campaigns without an opponent obstructing him, the two Democrats are engaging in petty spats and confronting credibility-damaging situations -- an exaggeration about Bosnia for her, and a former pastor's incendiary remarks for him.
"It's becoming alarming. The daily back and forth is diminishing both Democratic candidates," said Steve Murphy, a Democrat who ran Dick Gephardt's 2004 campaign. Meanwhile, he added: "McCain has carte blanche for a couple of months."
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