日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Realty boost to economy not good in long run

By YI XIANRONG (China Daily) Updated: 2016-08-19 08:32

Realty boost to economy not good in long run

Cars pass by a housing block in Binzhou, Shandong province, Feb 4, 2016. [Photo/IC]

If the asset bubbles are not deflated, China's economy cannot continue to grow and its financial market will face a huge risk. For example, housing prices in the first-tier and some second-tier cities rose sharply in the first half of this year, which "land speculators" used to their utmost advantage.

The property bubble is largely related to the People's Bank of China's excessive credit expansion. In Shanghai, Nanjing and Xiamen, prices of newly built housing units in June increased more than 30 percent year-on-year, and housing prices in Shenzhen jumped 47 percent year-on-year.

Although an unprecedented real estate boom was seen in the first half of this year with housing sales reaching at 640 million square meters, the year-on-year housing inventory actually increased instead of decreasing. By the end of June 2015, the housing space for sale stayed at 657 million square meters.

But despite the upbeat property market in the first half of this year, residents couldn't find enough investment channels for much of the money in their hands. It seems the property market boom in the first half was the consequence of speculation by using banks' financial leverage. Bank loans in China during the first half of the year rose by 753 million yuan ($113.5 million) and the social financing increased by 975 million yuan, both record-high figures. What's more, housing sector loans increased to 295 million yuan, 262 million yuan of which was mid-to long-term loans, accounting for nearly 40 percent of the entire bank loans in the first half of the year. This is unprecedented in China.

This also means China's property market boom and growth in the first half was generally the consequence of over-expanded bank loans. Such huge amounts of bank loans flowing into the property market is fine when housing prices are increasing. But if housing prices fall after the real estate sector's ongoing periodic adjustment, many problems will arise. At present, China faces the problems of excessive debts owed by local governments, enterprises and individuals. And if the problems reach extremes, it will be very difficult to solve them.

When all social funds flow into the real estate market as speculative money, they not only veer away from the real economy but also push up asset prices comprehensively. And a GDP growth driven by fast rising asset prices will give rise to huge hidden perils and risks for the economy. This form of economic growth is not only unsustainable but also could cause the asset bubbles to burst at any time. This is the fundamental reason why the meeting of the Communist Party of China Central Committee proposed to control asset bubbles.

In conclusion, we can say the Chinese economy did not ease the downward pressure and was mainly fueled by the real estate and rising prices in the first half of the year. Of course, economy cannot sustain itself in this way. If China's central bank tightens its monetary policy to some extent, the real estate market may undergo a real periodic adjustment. If this happens, economic growth is very likely to feel a downward pressure and China's economic situation would not look so cheerful in the second half of the year. And the authorities need courage and wisdom to deal with this dilemma.

The author is a professor at School of Economics, Qingdao University.

Most Viewed Today's Top News
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美成在线 | 欧美中文字幕在线观看 | 日韩欧美网| 国产麻豆精品久久一二三 | 久久久免费观看 | 久久理论片 | 欧美性色网 | 日本久久久久久久久久久 | 国产性―交―乱―色―情人 | 欧美有码在线 | 日本一区二区三区在线观看视频 | 午夜久久久久久久久久 | 国产精品伊人久久 | 日韩一区二区三区四区视频 | 天天躁日日躁狠狠躁av麻豆男男 | 在线视频中文 | 欧美日韩首页 | 欧美69视频 | 亚洲性在线 | 欧美黄色一级生活片 | 成人在线一区二区 | 成年人的视频 | 在线天堂中文 | 91偷拍网| 人人看超碰 | 中文字幕视频在线播放 | 欧美精品成人 | 亚洲精品大全 | 中文一级片 | 日本特黄一级片 | 日韩成人精品一区二区 | 国产一级一片免费播放 | 999精品视频在线观看播放 | 国产56页| 欧美精品日韩在线 | 亚洲精品久久久久avwww潮水 | 色天天干 | 免费在线视频一区二区 | 久久久精品视频在线 | 丁香婷婷综合激情五月色 | 黄页在线免费观看 |