日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Featured Contributors

Why the China doomsayers are getting things wrong

By Jeremy Garlick (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2016-02-03 09:54

Why the China doomsayers are getting things wrong

Jiang Jianqing, chairman of the board, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Christine Lagarde, managing director, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Fang Xinghai, director-general, International Economic Department, Office of the Central Leading Group for Financial and Economic Affairs of China and Gary D. Cohn (L-R), president and chief operating officer, Goldman Sachs, arrive for the session 'Where Is the Chinese Economy Heading?' of the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland January 21, 2016.[Photo/Agencies]

There has been a great deal of anxiety recently among global investors and financial experts over the state of the Chinese economy. This appears to have reached its peak during the 2016 World Economic Forum at Davos, where George Soros opined that China is facing a 'hard landing' because of mismanagement of its currency and other factors, provoking a furious rebuttal in the pages of this newspaper and elsewhere in the Chinese media.

Other major Western media outlets such as The Economist and The Wall Street Journal have weighed in with negative forecasts of China's economy. Even Goldman Sachs, the US investment bank, has warned its clients to withdraw from China because of the possibility of imminent economic collapse.

Now it seems that calmer heads in the Western financial community have begun to urge people not to succumb to unnecessary panic, given that the data do not warrant such an extreme reaction. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the UK's The Daily Telegraph has advised against what he calls the 'hysteria' which he believes has replaced rational debate both outside and within China.

Yet there still seems to be great confusion over the direction of China's economy among Western financial and economic experts. Some claim a devaluation of the yuan is imminent, others deny it. There appear to be almost as many versions of China's economic future as there are experts.

Thus the situation is one of turmoil, both in the markets but also in people's heads. Part of this disorder is generated by the difficult transformation that is currently occurring in China's economy, as this continent-sized nation of 1.3 billion attempts the inevitable shift from industrial production to a service economy that is unprecedented in human history in terms of size.

However, part of the problem is also now being enabled by an emerging climate of fear, at least in part generated by Western media and financial pundits.

Economics is unfortunately not a precise science, and is subject to the highs and lows of human emotions at least as much as it is to the influence of numbers. Many have noted that markets move up and down on waves of greed and fear.

The present wave of unjustified fear and the scaremongering it has entailed is indicative of three things. The first is that it is clear evidence that China is now the most significant driver of global economic growth. There is now a largely unspoken recognition in the West that what happens in China is going to affect the futures of the whole of humanity in the twenty-first century.

The second point is that this tacit admission of China's central significance to the world, delivered in a flurry of prognostications about China's economy, betrays the sense of misgiving that many in the West have about China's increasing global importance. Fear about China's economy also reveals an underlying anxiety that China is on the cusp of replacing the West as the dominant historical force of our time, and that this development, whatever its end result may turn out to be, is beyond the control of Westerners.

The third and last issue is that, in all probability, large Western financial institutions suspect that the global economy may be on a downward spiral because they know full well that they have not sufficiently reformed their practices since the 2008 meltdown, and that due to their continuing malpractice (well-documented and subject to fines for banks such as HSBC in the billions of dollars) there is likely to be another banking crisis on the cards before long.

In short, the 'panic' (if such it be) among financial pundits at Davos and elsewhere is indicative of a deep-seated mistrust of China, what it stands for, and where it is headed, as well as a desire to pre-emptively pass the buck if another crash comes.

Jeremy Garlick is lecturer in international relations at Jan Masaryk Centre for International Studies, University of Economics in Prague.

The opinions expressed here are those of the writer and don't represent views of China Daily website.

Most Viewed Today's Top News
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产亚洲精品久久久久久无几年桃 | 日本黄色高清视频 | 97蜜桃网 | 欧美日韩在线综合 | aaaa黄色片 | 久久综合国产 | 污污视频在线观看免费 | 麻豆一区二区三区在线观看 | 国产欧美综合一区 | 国产天堂第一区 | 香蕉视频精品 | 青青操免费在线视频 | 亚洲天堂成人在线 | 成年人黄网站 | 激情高潮到大叫狂喷水 | 国产成人免费在线观看视频 | 亚洲啊啊啊啊啊 | 婷婷亚洲天堂 | 成人黄页| 欧美一级片在线免费观看 | 成人久久久精品国产乱码一区二区 | 日韩欧美不卡 | 操女人视频网站 | 我我色综合 | 自拍视频在线 | 中文一区二区在线观看 | 午夜视频在线观看一区 | 亚洲激情在线播放 | 日韩欧美亚洲精品 | 久久久日本| 91麻豆精品久久毛片一级 | 特级毛片爽www免费版 | 日韩黄色片网站 | 激情视频网址 | 蜜桃色av | a天堂中文字幕 | 欧美色道 | 色播久久| 国内精品久久久久久久久久 | 偷拍亚洲欧美 | 欧美一级片在线播放 |