日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

China's debt has just turned a corner

By David Mann (China Daily) Updated: 2015-04-08 07:39

China's debt has just turned a corner

An employee counts renminbi (yuan) banknotes at a bank in Lianyungang city, East China's Jiangsu province, June 4, 2014.[Photo/IC]

There are fears about China's growth prospects given the recent bad news about weak credit demand, high real interest rates and tight liquidity. But we (at Standard Chartered) see three reasons for at least some optimism:

First, China's debt-to-GDP ratio stabilized in mid-2014, albeit at a relatively high 251 percent of GDP. While China's dramatic debt increase in the past five years grabbed headlines worldwide, as the ratio leapt nearly 100 percentage points from 155 percent of GDP, the fact that the ratio has begun to stabilize has not received much attention.

This is an important milestone in China's debt turnaround following years of excess. Over the past five years, total credit growth in China was on average 8 percentage points faster than nominal GDP growth - way beyond the point at which credit growth becomes inefficient for any economy.

However, since mid-2014, China's credit has been growing in line with GDP. Essentially, this means China is now getting more "bang for its buck" for every new unit of borrowing. Also, attitudes to debt have changed, with loan officials in China now much more averse to taking the risk of a loan going bad.

Although this doesn't mean China's leverage risks have been resolved, because the excessive debt accumulation of prior years still needs to be dealt with, it does mean that debt challenges are no longer escalating. And this is good news.

Resuming past excesses is not an option. China's debt-to-GDP ratio is still relatively high compared with other economies at a similar stage of development, so debt cannot be used to boost growth significantly in the near future without risking even more solvency issues later. Besides, since the official non-performing loan ratio is set to keep rising through 2015 and beyond, most likely not all of the bad debts will be recognized immediately, which comes with both benefits and potential costs.

We will need to watch carefully whether this "ever-greening" of bad loans becomes too large a share of new credit growth. Importantly, this does not appear to be the case so far.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Most Viewed Today's Top News
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美激情在线播放 | 国产成人黄色 | 裸体武打性艳史 | 欧美日韩网 | 日本二区在线 | 欧美久久久久久久久久久久 | 日本高清三区 | 超碰激情在线 | 日韩视频免费在线 | av资源网在线观看 | 欧美精品久久久久久久久久 | 91麻豆精品国产 | 特黄特色大片bbbb | 69中文字幕 | 91啪国产 | 久久国产精品波多野结衣av | 天堂av影院 | 超碰在线人人草 | 欧美成人a视频 | 欧美一区一区 | 纪美影视在线观看电视版使用方法 | 日韩欧美综合视频 | 91网站免费在线观看 | 激情久久婷婷 | 欧美午夜精品一区二区蜜桃 | 欧美性一级 | 伊人久久五月 | 久久久久一区二区三区 | 国产午夜精品一区二区 | 91操视频| 欧美又大又粗又长 | a在线免费观看 | 日韩在线视频看看 | 国产又爽 | 午夜88 | 五月婷在线观看 | 色播综合网 | 久久人人超碰 | 国产精品久久视频 | 色婷婷狠狠干 | 日本国产欧美 |