日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
China / Business

March developments make gold tricky for rest of year

(China Daily) Updated: 2017-03-27 06:46

NEW YORK - Janet Yellen's soothing words on the pace of US interest rate hikes were a day late for hedge funds losing faith in the metal.

Money managers cut their bullish bets on bullion by the most since 2015 in the week ended March 14. The next day, Federal Reserve Chair Yellen reiterated that monetary policy will remain accommodative for "some time," easing market fears that there might be more than three rate hikes this year. Her words sparked the biggest gold rally since November.

Gold, which climbed through the first two months of the year, had foundered in March as the prospect of higher borrowing costs curbed the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets. Yellen's remarks came as the Bank of Japan maintains its unprecedented monetary easing program and the Bank of England holds its benchmark rate at a record low, helping to keep yields on trillions of dollars worth of debt below zero.

"The fact that we still have stimulative measures, the fact that we still have negative rates out there - that generates uncertainty in people's minds," said George Milling-Stanley, the head of gold strategy at State Street Global Advisors, which oversees $2.47 trillion. "There's still an awful lot of things out there that are supportive of gold in the short- to long-term."

The funds reduced their gold net-long position, or the difference between bets on a price increase and wagers on a decline, by 47 percent to 49,835 futures and options contracts in the week ended March 14, according to US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released three days later. That was the biggest decline since December 2015.

As traders awaited the Fed meeting, gold futures in New York dropped in the first part of last week. Yellen's statement on March 15 then reversed those losses, sending the metal up 2.5 percent to $1,230.20 an ounce at the close on March 17, the biggest two-day gain since Nov. 2.

Yields on more than $8 trillion in government and corporate debt in the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index of investment-grade bonds have fallen below zero, meaning they're certain to lose money if held to maturity. While the Fed funds rate rose by a quarter point to 0.75 percent to 1 percent last week, that upper-band of the range is still well below the average of 5.18 percent over the past four decades.

The negative yields give an advantage to gold, which some investors consider a store of value and a hedge against inflation.

There are other tail winds supporting bullion. Standard Chartered Plc analyst Suki Cooper said political uncertainties from the French elections to the UK's formal exit from the European Union will bolster haven demand. Price dips toward $1,200 are "attractive entry levels," she said in a report March 16. A pick up in seasonal demand from India also limits the downside risk in the near-term, Cooper said.

Gold imports by India, which competes with China for the role of world's biggest consumer, jumped 175 percent to 96.4 metric tons in February from a year earlier, according to a person familiar with provisional data from the finance ministry who asked not to be identified as the data aren't public. Jewelers boosted stockpiles before the festival and wedding period that starts next month.

The precious metal's rebound has also been driven in part by risks to global growth, the lack of clarity on US tax reform and "persistent doubts" about the US infrastructure plan by President Donald Trump, Morgan Stanley analysts including Tom Price wrote in a note March 13. Still, they said they remain "long-term bears because of stable global growth, and "pro-active inflation management."

Investors also may be underestimating how eventual monetary tightening could hurt the appeal of precious metals, said Chad Morganlander, a money manager at Stifel, Nicolaus & Co. in Florham Park, New Jersey, where he helps oversee more than $200 billion. Fed policy makers have penciled in two more quarter-point rate increases this year and three in 2018.

Chinese investors may still be bullish about gold, as the precious metal is one of the most important haven assets, particularly when choices of haven assets are rare for domestic investors at current stage, according to Xie Yi, fund manager with Shenzhen-based First Frontsea Fund.

"Medium-and - long-term investment in gold, be they physical gold, gold-backed ETFs, or jewelries are advisable," he said.

For short-term investment in gold, risks remain because expectations for another Fed rate hike in June and in December are likely to impact gold price in short-term and make price swings wildly around the time, according to Yang Jie, an analyst at Shanghai-based Seawonder Precious Metal Investments.

Highlights
Hot Topics

...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 天天综合在线视频 | 午夜日韩av| 欧美三级一级 | 国产午夜精品久久久久 | 亚洲国产成人精品女人 | 天堂男人av| 久久国产精品久久久 | 久久久精品免费 | 日韩亚洲天堂 | 国产一区二区三区三州 | 中文无码日韩欧 | 91超碰在线观看 | 一道av | av永久免费观看 | 国产免费不卡视频 | 久久国产精品久久 | 嫩草一区| 日韩不卡视频在线 | 欧美性猛交99久久久久99按摩 | 国产乱码一区二区三区 | 久久伊人影视 | 黄色理论视频 | 成人午夜精品福利免费 | 中文字幕亚洲欧美日韩 | 超碰在线中文字幕 | 毛片视频网站在线观看 | 天天干夜夜操 | 成人午夜免费福利视频 | 日韩色在线 | 午夜小视频在线观看 | 福利国产 | 久久成人激情 | av先锋资源| 永久看看免费大片 | 毛片高清 | 色婷婷国产精品免 | 欧美亚洲视频 | 国产精品久久久久久亚洲毛片 | 97超碰中文字幕 | 全部免费毛片在线播放一个 | 99免费精品|