日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
China
Home / China / Business

As euro nears dollar parity, how much further will it decline?

By Associated Press | China Daily | Updated: 2015-03-13 08:52

The euro is notching one milestone after another as it drops against major currencies. On Wednesday, it hit a 12-year low against the dollar and many think its descent has further to go.

The fall in Europe's single currency has been dramatic - 25 percent since May, when it traded just shy of $1.40. Back then, companies across Europe openly fretted about the strength of the euro and its impact on their exports.

Such concerns are now more likely to be heard out of the United States or the United Kingdom, which are seeing their currencies rebound against the euro. On Wednesday, the euro fell as low as $1.0557, its weakest against the dollar since April 2003.

So what has prompted the euro's plunge?

Euro excess

The main reason is the European Central Bank has not only cut interest rates but also started creating more euros to put into the financial system.

The ECB had been reluctant to do so for years, but in 2014 it changed course. As policymakers faced the prospect of minimal growth and falling prices, which can further weigh on an economy, it cut its main interest rate in September to 0.05 percent. The move hit the euro by reducing the potential returns on investments in the eurozone.

As that proved insufficient to turn the eurozone around, the ECB has started buying government bonds in the markets with newly created money. The hope is that the 18-month 1.1 trillion-euro ($1.12 trillion) monetary stimulus will shore up the economic recovery and get inflation back into the system.

Whether or not the stimulus works, it will increase the number of euros in circulation, diluting their value.

The stimulus should also keep a lid on the borrowing rates of most eurozone countries in the markets - the ECB's buying shores up the value of the bonds, thereby reducing the potential yield on those bonds. With the yields on European government bonds at historic lows and in some cases negative, the returns to investors are negligible at best, further weighing on the euro.

Fed factor

The euro has fallen against many currencies, but its drop has been particularly pronounced against the dollar.

That is because while the ECB's policies have been weakening the euro, the US Federal Reserve's are bolstering the dollar.

As the US economy keeps growing and creating jobs, the Fed ended its own bond-buying stimulus program and said it is ready to soon start raising interest rates. Last week's stronger-than-expected jobs figures for February ratcheted up expectations that the first rate increase will take place in June.

For those looking for higher returns, holding US assets has become a more enticing prospect. Just look at the returns available on holding the 10-year US Treasury - the yield stands at 2.14 percent against 0.18 percent for Germany's.

The dollar has been rising not only against the euro but a range of currencies. Against the Japanese currency, it was near 122 yen, the highest since 2007.

Greece lightning

Concerns over a Greek exit from the euro have been an additional burden on the euro over the past few months.

The rise of a new government in Athens that wants to renegotiate a large part of the country's bailout terms has raised the prospect of a "Grexit".

Those tensions are likely to linger as Greece and the eurozone creditors will be stuck for weeks, if not months, on how to lighten the country's rescue loans.

Stunted growth

Many eurozone economies still have trouble growing, and that has discouraged some investors from putting their money in the currency bloc.

Relatively small economies like Portugal and Ireland are just emerging from bailout programs that required them to make huge budget cuts. Big economies like Italy, Spain and France are still focusing on reducing debt rather than spending.

At the very least, the economic outlook for the eurozone isn't rosy, and that's likely to require lower interest rates from the ECB than the Fed, for example, and that prospect has been another reason hurting the euro.

 

As euro nears dollar parity, how much further will it decline? 

A man looks at an exchange rate board in Paris. The euro could soon be doing something it's only done a couple of times in its 16year existence, trading 1to1 with the dollar. Europe's single currency has since May been on a downward trajectory against the dollar, mainly because of the divergence in economic performance between the eurozone and the United States. Michel Euler / AP

Editor's picks
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 精品乱子伦一区二区三区 | 日本中文字幕一区二区 | 91国产免费视频 | 欧美成人女星 | 97狠狠 | 三级国产网站 | 九九久久精品视频 | 色婷婷在线视频 | 久久久精品免费 | 成人免费一级视频 | 久久久精品久久久久 | 国产高清黄网站全免费 | 午夜小影院 | 91看片淫黄大片91 | 特级黄色录像 | 国产视频一区在线观看 | 李丽珍毛片 | 男人在线观看视频 | 日韩欧美中文字幕在线播放 | 日韩一级片网址 | 久久福利精品 | 午夜免费观看视频 | 天堂成人网| 天天天天天天干 | 伊人中文在线 | 久久黄色视 | 日韩免费片 | 91福利视频网 | 成人看片在线观看 | 在线观看黄视频 | 国产激情福利 | 另类视频在线 | 久久精品区 | 正在播放久久 | www性| 欧美午夜一区 | 亚洲成人精品在线播放 | 激情久久视频 | av国产免费 | 一区二区中文字幕 | 亚洲久视频|