日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Saving deficit, not China, threatens American dream

By STEPHEN S. ROACH (China Daily) Updated: 2016-06-02 07:52

The US, however, is headed in the opposite direction. There is no interest in debating the saving issue, let alone implementing policies to address it. A pro-saving US policy agenda should draw on the following: longer-term fiscal consolidation, expanded individual retirement accounts and 401Ks, consumption-based tax reform (such as value-added or sales taxes), and interest-rate normalization. Instead, US politicians continue to focus on keeping the consumption binge going, regardless of its implications for the US' saving imperative.

The asymmetrical response of the world's two largest economies to their respective saving dilemmas has far-reaching consequences. To the extent that China makes progress on the road to consumer-led rebalancing, it will shift from surplus saving to saving absorption. Already, China's gross national saving rate has declined from a peak of 52 percent of GDP in 2008 to around 44 percent this year. It should fall further in the years ahead.

The US, long locked in a codependent economic relationship with China, cannot afford to ignore this shift. After all, along with reduced current-account and trade surpluses, China's consumer-led shift to saving absorption likely entails diminished accumulation of foreign-exchange reserves and reduced recycling of those reserves into dollar-based assets such as US Treasuries.

To the extent that America fails to boost its domestic saving, the lack of Chinese capital may well force the US to pay a steeper price for external financing, through a weaker dollar, higher real interest rates, or both. Such are the classic pitfalls of codependency: when one partner alters the relationship, there are consequences for the other.

No country can prosper indefinitely without saving. Holding the world's reserve currency, the US has gotten away with it, largely because the rest of the world let it. After all, the enablers-especially export-led economies like China, along with its resource-dependent supply chain-benefited from the US' consumption binge, as it drove an outsize expansion of global trade.

But those days are numbered. US voters-especially disenfranchised, angry middle-class workers-increasingly recognize that something does not add up. Yet US politicians continue to deflect the electorate's anger outward, dismissing the growth subsidy that accompanies the "kindness of strangers". It is time for politicians to own up to the uncomfortable truth: The saving deficit is the single greatest threat to the American dream.

Stephen S. Roach, a faculty member at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, is the author of Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

Most Viewed Today's Top News
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩小视频| 2017天天干 | 国产视频久久久久 | 91精品久久久久久粉嫩 | 国产精品操 | 久久99久久99精品免观看软件 | 超碰天天| 国产99免费视频 | 杨思敏毛片 | av不卡一区二区三区 | 成人a视频在线观看 | 国产九九精品视频 | 亚洲女人天堂网 | 精品国产一区二区三区久久久久久 | 欧美午夜免费 | 久久99久久99 | 婷婷色影院 | 狂野欧美性猛交 | 伊人影院综合 | 2021国产精品| 日韩免费片| 1级黄色大片儿 | 欧美野战| 在线观看国产黄色 | 国产精品视频网址 | 国产精品又黄又爽又色 | 在线观看污视频 | 欧美日韩精品一区二区 | 免费人成在线 | 超碰2021 | 精品视频三区 | 欧美91在线 | 成人国产精品免费观看 | wwwwww在线观看| 欧美黄色一区二区 | 五月婷婷爱爱 | 美女av在线免费观看 | 日韩一区二区不卡 | 精品中出 | 国产欧美日韩在线观看 | 亚洲高清一区二区三区 |