日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
China / Across America

Rise of China, other emerging markets well on the way

(China Daily USA) Updated: 2017-02-13 11:51

The United States may like to keep its dominant position, but the rise of other parts of the world looks like an irreversible trend, as predicted in the latest report by consulting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC).

The report released last week shows that by 2050, six of the world's 10 largest economies will be emerging markets measured by purchasing power parity (PPP). While China will remain the largest economy, India will become the world's second largest, pushing the US into third place.

Following the US will be, in order: Indonesia, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Japan, Germany and the United Kingdom, according to the report, titled The Long View: How Will the Global Economic Order Change by 2050?

The report projects that the world economy could more than double in size by 2050, assuming broad growth-friendly policies, such as no sustained long-term retreat into protectionism, and no major global civilization-threatening catastrophes.

It predicts that China's economy will account for around 20 percent of the world GDP by 2050.

China's GDP measured by PPP stood at $21.3 trillion in 2016, compared to the $18.6 trillion of the US. But by 2050, China will shoot up to $58.5 trillion, while India will hit $44.1 trillion, and the US will be at $34.1 trillion.

The report sees Vietnam, the Philippines and Nigeria moving up the ranks quickly, respectively to 20th, 19th and 14th largest of all world economies, from their places of 32nd, 28th and 22nd in 2016.

It says that the size of the E7 (China, India, Indonesia, Brazil, Russia, Mexico and Turkey) could be double the size of the G7 (US, UK, France, Germany, Japan, Canada and Italy) by 2040.

While today's advanced economies will continue to have higher average incomes, emerging economies will make good progress toward closing the gap by 2050.

The report also shows the challenges ahead for policymakers in achieving sustainable long-term growth. It advises emerging market governments to implement structural reforms to improve their macroeconomic stability, infrastructure and institutions.

On the China front, Allan Zhang, chief economist of PwC for the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong, pointed out that the Chinese government will need to make sure that future funds will flow into productive projects instead of into "zombie enterprises", referring to many inefficient state-owned enterprises.

He also pointed to the severe challenge of China's demographic changes to its long-term growth. "The ageing society and shrinking working population will push up labor costs significantly and could undermine China's competitiveness and economic vitality, unless offset by strong technology-driven productivity gains," he wrote in the report's section on China.

Other challenges China faces include rising bad debt and how China would push forward its supply-side structural reform, streamline regulations, lower business costs and create pro-innovation environment.

Zhang believes China still has great potential for growth, given that its urbanization process is still at a relatively early stage and its services sector has a lot of scope to catch up with advanced economies like the US.

Such an analysis of China is largely in line with recommendations by the IMF and other economists.

The PwC report asserts that the ascent of emerging markets will provide great opportunities for business. It cites the successful example of how General Motors has adopted a local focus in China.

The IMF was the first in October 2014 to announce that China's GDP that year would surpass that of the US by PPP.

The growth trajectory forecasted by PwC for China and the US has also been reflected in the public views in the two countries in Pew Center surveys of the past years. Americans have increasingly regarded China as an economic power.

According to a Pew survey released last October, more Chinese see their country as ascending while the US public does not.

In 2016, 46 percent of Americans said the US plays a less important role as a world leader compared with 10 years ago. That number was only 20 percent in 2004.

Meanwhile, 75 percent of the Chinese believe their country is playing a more important role in the world today compared with a decade ago.

Contact the writer at chenweihua@chinadailyusa.com.

Highlights
Hot Topics

...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 一区二区三区免费视频观看 | 成人深夜视频 | 国产一区二区三区免费视频 | 日韩一级一区 | 久久精品在线观看 | 伊人国产在线观看 | 精品久久99| 国产精品免费一区二区三区在线观看 | 国产 中文 字幕 日韩 在线 | 亚洲国产精品女人久久久 | 精品视频专区 | 日韩欧美国产视频 | 97在线免费观看 | 黄色aaa视频| 国产美女免费视频 | 精品国产999久久久免费 | 免费萌白酱国产一区二区三区 | 久操久操久操 | 五月婷婷中文 | 韩国一区二区视频 | 日本一级理论片在线大全 | 亚洲精品日韩欧美 | 精品无人国产偷自产在线 | 亚洲免费观看高清完整 | 国内免费精品视频 | 欧美69久成人做爰视频 | 国产精品69久久久久孕妇欧美 | av青青草原 | 久久精品免费看 | 中文字幕精 | 欧美国产精品一区二区三区 | 四虎永久 | 亚洲成人精选 | 又色又爽视频 | 精品欧美激情精品一区 | 成年人免费观看视频网站 | 丰满女人性猛交 | 中国第一毛片 | 激情综合色 | 国产原创精品 | 玉足女爽爽91 |