日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

chinadaily.com.cn
left corner left corner
China Daily Website

Economy glides to soft landing: DBS

Updated: 2013-06-26 02:31
By GAO CHANGXIN in Hong Kong and CHEN JIA in Beijing ( China Daily)

The Chinese economy has already "soft-landed" as a result of well-orchestrated government maneuvers, Singapore-based DBS Bank Ltd said on Tuesday.

Senior economist Chris Leung shrugged off the scenario of a hard landing suggested by many analysts apparently spooked by the recent surge in money market rates.

Leung told a news briefing in Hong Kong that growth could further slow to 7 percent in the worst-case scenario where some banks lapse into default, but the possibility is basically zero that the whole economy would derail.

China's gradual slowdown, from a peak of 12.1 percent growth in the first quarter of 2010 to 7.7 percent in the first quarter this year, is "voluntary" and reflects the new leadership's "new way of doing things", Leung said.

"The new leadership has made it clear that it is willing to sacrifice short-term growth for the economy's long-term health," he said. "There will not be easy money any more unless in the unlikely scenario where growth slumps to 4 or 5 percent."

Going forward, growth of 7 percent will be the "new normal" for China, as the government shifts focus from growth to structural reforms.

The market seems to have already digested the "new normal".

An index from JPMorgan Chase & Co measuring the market's macroeconomic confidence showed an outlook for weak growth momentum. The index fell to 35.7 in June from 46.9 in May, it said.

Zhu Haibin, chief economist in China with the bank, said that persistently sluggish investment in manufacturing will persist as the main challenge. The sluggishness "is because of excessive production and shrinking investment returns", Zhu said.

The policy stance is expected to remain tight as the new leadership is determined to shift the priority to structural reform, which will add downside risks to the whole economy in the short term, said Zhu, who downgraded the bank's GDP forecast to 7.6 percent this year.

Investors' confidence in the banking, real estate and consumer goods industries is relatively weaker, according to JPMorgan.

The new leadership's reforms start with the banking system, Leung said.

China's money market rates skyrocketed this month, to 30 percent in some cases, after the central bank indicated it would not give out easy credit as it used to. That led to worries that a credit crunch will ensue and freeze real economic activity.

"The central bank knows what it is doing," said Leung. "The economy is not short of money. The rate hike is a reflection of some banks' risk management problems, not of a shortage of money."

Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd said in a research note on Tuesday that rates won't subside until mid-July as lenders scramble to meet some more stringent regulatory requirements in the next two or three weeks.

The broad M2 money supply rose 15.8 percent in May year-on-year, to 104 trillion yuan ($17 trillion), 2.8 percentage points higher than this year's 13 percent target.

On Monday, the central bank made it clear that it won't shore up liquidity to bring down rates. Instead, the bank urged lenders to strengthen control on credit expansion.

The statement sank China's stock market into bear territory with a 5.3 percent tumble, which was followed on Tuesday by a 0.19 percent dip to 1,959.51 points, down 12.56 percent from the start of the year.

"We will see a lot of volatility like this as reforms continue, as investors accustom themselves to the government's new way of doing things," said Leung.

 
 
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 人人爽人人澡 | 久久久影视 | 丁香色婷婷 | 国产成人综合在线 | 久久亚洲国产精品 | 视频一区在线免费观看 | 亚洲精品在线视频观看 | 久草一区二区 | 一区二区三区精品国产 | 久久久欧美 | 欧美偷拍亚洲 | avove在线观看 | 琪琪色在线观看 | 久久久91精品 | 亚洲免费一区二区 | 精品免费在线 | 色99在线 | 亚洲最大黄色网址 | av大片在线观看 | 精品欧美激情精品一区 | 欧美a级在线 | 日本免费一二三区 | 成人黄性视频 | 成人免费视频一区 | 福利二区视频 | 亚洲经典在线观看 | 欧美一级片在线视频 | 日韩视频一 | 成人性生交大片免费 | 婷婷在线免费 | av福利在线观看 | 日本精品中文字幕 | 成人免费大片黄在线播放 | 91爽片| 日本特级淫片 | 日韩久久久久久久 | 99精品国自产在线 | 中文字幕天堂在线 | 日本理伦片午夜理伦片 | 国产123区 | 成人午夜免费福利视频 |