日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Are bailout hopes fuelling a Chinese debt bubble?

By Andrew Moody | China Daily | Updated: 2016-12-12 07:49

Zhu Ning, oceanwide professor of finance at Tsinghua University in Beijing, believes people are prepared to take investment risks in China because they sense the Chinese government will always bail them out.

The leading academic argues such behavior is fueling a debt bubble which could put at risk the stability of the economy.

"We have had a few high-profile defaults in the bond market this year in which the government has intervened," he said.

"It sometimes creates situations where people jump into these bonds after they have heard the news of a default. The price has dived and they will buy them because they know they will be bailed out."

Zhu spent the summer in the US promoting his new book, China's Guaranteed Bubble, at the Brookings Institution, the IMF and the World Bank.

The Chinese version has sold 35,000 copies so far, making it one of the top 50 best-selling economics books in China.

"The book is getting quite a lot of interest and attention. I'm often surprised about how little China is being understood, even sometimes among people who are supposed to be experts." Government guarantee is not unique to China but the way it works in practice is, he said.

He argues that no other government in the world has the same firepower to sort out financial messes as they arise. China's foreign exchange reserves have increased from $200 billion yuan ($29.4 billion) in 2001 to $4.5 trillion in 2013.

"I think what is special about China is that the government has far more resources than other governments internationally because of this very vibrant economic growth that has built up these reserves."

Zhu, who is also deputy dean of the Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance, a leading think tank, said one of the big risks to the economy at present is the property market, where prices have soared by 30 percent in tier one cities like Beijing and Shanghai this year.

"I have met people who claim concepts such as rental yield (which are at historic lows in China because of high property prices) do not apply in China because everyone in the country is trying to move and live in the big cities," he said.

"I think the scariest moment of a bubble is when everyone believes there is no bubble."

Zhu said what is of particular concern is the alarming, rapid rise in China's debt from 160 percent in 2005 to 247 percent in 2015, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

He insisted it was always the speed of the debt rise that caused crashes such as the South Sea Bubble in the UK in the 18th Century and Japan's in the 1990s.

"Many economies, especially developing ones, hit a crisis point when their debt-to-GDP ratio gets to only 70 or 80 percent but they have this pattern of fast acceleration instead."

Zhu does not accept that China is protected from a debt crisis because its debt is owed internally rather than externally, which was the case with the Asian countries caught up in the financial crisis in the late 1990s.

But he reiterates the Chinese government has the ability to avert any financial meltdown. "I think we're at a crossroads where we can still avert a crisis."

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 91无套直看片红桃在线观看 | 久久理伦| 天天综合网站 | 日韩在线中文字幕 | 国产精品1234| 久久99免费视频 | 人人草网站 | 超碰免费看 | 亚洲三级a| 成年人香蕉视频 | 欧美日韩在线视频免费 | 国产区第一页 | 成人综合影院 | xxx黄色片 | www.午夜视频 | 国产欧美精品区一区二区三区 | 欧美黄色片免费看 | 一级黄毛片 | 麻豆精品网站 | 色99在线 | 超碰97人人爱 | 日韩精品视频在线免费观看 | 亚洲综合福利 | 人人看超碰 | 日本欧美三级 | 色网站在线| 亚色网站| 午夜爽爽爽男女免费观看 | 亚洲网站在线播放 | 欧美日韩在线视频免费播放 | 一级片在线| 激情欧美在线 | 日韩精品一区二区三区四区五区 | 精品动漫一区二区三区 | 亚洲精品观看 | 日韩一区二区在线看 | 欧美激情天堂 | 伊人网大香| 日韩av一级 | 亚洲色图欧美另类 | 国产激情无套内精对白视频 |