日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

China's economy has not deteriorated: Deutsche Bank report

By Jiang Xueqing (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2014-02-14 14:17

China's economic fundamentals are much healthier than most other emerging markets and the country is one of the least vulnerable emerging market economies to US tapering in 2014, said a Deutsche Bank report released on Wednesday.

Since the beginning of December, the Chinese H share index has dropped by 16 percent, triggering fear among some investors that China's economic situation has deteriorated in recent weeks — just like those in Argentina and Turkey.

"We think this market perception of China is wrong," said Ma Jun, chief economist for greater China with Deustche Bank. "There is no need for the Chinese government to ease macro policy to stimulate the Chinese economy."

His conclusion is based on a group of factors ranging from the stability of the yuan to a more stable political situation since the change of the Chinese leadership in 2013.

Compared with other emerging market currencies, China's RMB has been the most stable in the past weeks and will likely remain stable in 2014, Ma said. He expects the RMB to appreciate against the US dollar by about 2% in 2014, although a modest increase in its flexibility is possible.

He noted that macro fundamentals are much stronger in China than in many other emerging market countries. China's GDP growth was 7.7% in the fourth quarter, higher than the 7.5% annual target, and its volatility was within 0.2-0.3 percentage points on a year-on-year basis in the past few quarters. Its CPI inflation was 2.5% in December and will likely remain around 2.5% in coming months, representing its most stable period in history.

Although many people view the drop in China's manufacturing PMI in January (by 0.5 percentage points to 50.5) as an indication of China's economic weakness and some even say the sell-offs in many emerging markets were partly triggered by the Chinese PMI number, the Deutsche Bank economist believes that is a gross exaggeration of the significance of a monthly PMI figure, especially in January.

"Historically, Chinese PMI could move by anywhere between -1.7 percentage points to 0.2 percentage points in January (from December) due to the Chinese New Year effect. In addition, at the beginning of this year, some cities implemented emergency measures to prevent a sharp rise in the air pollution index by tentatively suspending the production of some coal-burning factories," he said.

China is implementing its most aggressive structural reforms in decades, which are helping address its financial risks, Ma said.

In his view, it is unlikely that China's wealth management product defaults and loans to local government financing vehicles will lead to a blow up of the financial system.

"Given the recent resolution of the China Credit Trust event, the authorities are embarking on a path toward 'managed defaults' to gradually improve risk pricing in the trust loan sector, while tightening rules on shadow banking activities," said Ma.

He added that the local government bond market will be developed to gradually replace LGFV loans as a more important source of financing for local government capital expenditures.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 欧美一级特黄aaaaaa在线看片 | 日本一本一道 | 一区二区视频免费观看 | 日本人亚洲人jjzzjjz | 人人爽爽人人 | 欧美精品1区 | 欧美人妖xxxx | 一级黄色大片视频 | 色综合天天综合综合国产 | 污污视频在线观看免费 | 古装做爰无遮挡三级视频 | 免费一级欧美 | 成人首页 | 精品免费在线视频 | 男人的天堂影院 | 国产www| 美女激情av | 九九精品在线播放 | 国产精选在线观看 | 欧美又大粗又爽又黄大片视频 | 综合天堂| av播放在线 | 三级国产三级在线 | 日韩1级片 | 三级国产在线观看 | 九月色婷婷 | 成人国产视频在线观看 | 四虎网址在线观看 | 日韩在线不卡 | 国产夫绿帽单男3p精品视频 | 国产黄频在线观看 | 成人午夜视频在线观看 | 久色成人网 | 91pron在线| 乱人伦av | 91看片淫黄大片91 | 成人香蕉视频在线观看 | 国产精品入口麻豆九色 | 日本三级久久久 | 中文字幕 视频一区 | 男女猛烈无遮挡 |