日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

 
Home / Voices

Slower growth, faster reform, more policy easing

By Wang Tao (chinadaily.com.cn)

Updated: 2015-03-06 17:06:30

Given downward pressures on and structural problems in the economy, Premier Li's government work report lowered key economic objectives from last year's levels. As was widely expected, China's target for real GDP growth was lowered from around 7.5 percent in 2014 to around 7 percent this year; targets for this year's retail sales and fixed asset investment growth were lowered too.

Slower growth does not pose a big challenge for China's labor market. We estimate that a 6.5-7 percent?GDP growth rate this year would be sufficient to generate over 10 million new urban jobs. Indeed, the government has kept the urban employment target for this year at more than 10 million.

Meanwhile, the government's goal to keep CPI inflation at around 3 percent?to us seems overly ambitious, given still rising deflationary pressures and declining commodity and energy prices, even after taking into account anticipated price reforms.

Setting 2015's GDP growth target at around 7 percent?is an important signal, designed to better manage expectations.

On the one hand, a lower target means that the government is tolerating slower growth. On the other hand, the target's still high level signals the government's intent to provide policy support as needed to prevent an excessive deceleration of growth.

Premier Li highlighted two "new engines" of growth: increasing public goods and services provisions, and mass entrepreneurships. For the former, the government will not only increase spending but also invite corporate sector participation; for the latter, the main role for the government will be to provide a conducive environment and lower entry barriers.

We think a 7 percent?GDP growth will be difficult to achieve this year amid a structural property downshift, notwithstanding further expected macro policy easing. In addition to a larger fiscal deficit and further monetary easing, we expect the government to ease property policies and further promote infrastructure investment by "crowding in" the use of corporate balance sheets.

Nevertheless, we maintain our GDP growth forecast of 6.8 percent, as we believe such easing measures will not be sufficient to fully offset the negative impact of China's ongoing property construction downshift.

UBS economists Harrison Hu, Ning Zhang, Donna Kwok and Jennifer Zhong contributed to this article.

The author is a UBS economist. The views do not necessarily reflect those of China Daily.

 

 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 黄色裸体网站 | 亚洲四区在线 | 日韩三级视频在线播放 | 久久久成人精品视频 | 日韩在线视频看看 | 男女视频h | 一区二区视频免费在线观看 | 久久免费少妇高潮久久精品99 | 欧美日韩亚洲天堂 | 91无套直看片红桃在线观看 | 91精品国产欧美一区二区 | 欧美偷拍一区二区三区 | 69亚洲精品| 欧美国产中文字幕 | 国产精品久久久久久在线观看 | 超碰人人人人 | 99re在线精品视频 | 午夜aaa| 亚洲乱轮视频 | 日本特黄一级片 | 色网站视频 | 欧美中文字幕在线播放 | 国产精品一区久久久 | 国产成人综合欧美精品久久 | 国产又黄又骚 | 欧美日韩国产在线 | 男人天堂久久 | 日本中文字幕不卡 | 久久亚洲国产成人精品性色 | 天堂av中文在线 | 91成人精品一区在线播放 | 91成人精品一区在线播放 | 午夜爱爱毛片xxxx视频免费看 | 中文视频在线观看 | 亚洲黄色中文字幕 | 久久久96 | 日本黄色大片免费看 | 97精品在线 | 日韩欧美精品久久 | 色呦呦一区 | 久久xxx |