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2009 Global Think Tank Summit > Photo Gallery
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Recession risk 'worse than expected': NDRCBy Fu Jing (China Daily)
Updated: 2008-12-13 09:00 China is facing "worse-than-expected" risks of an economic downturn, as the global recession looms large, the country's top economic planner said on Friday. Zhang Ping, minister of the National Development and Reform Commission, said it is "still very hard" to predict when the worsening global financial crisis will hit.
This is the first time a senior Chinese official has outlined the domestic and global economic landscape while the financial crisis, sparked by the US sub-prime crisis, is still unfolding.
He made the comments during a speech to senior provincial officials in charge of economic and social development at the opening of a three-day national conference to implement the central government's instructions and guidelines on fighting the financial crisis. On Wednesday, the government ended a closed-door economic conference by coming up with guidelines to fight the crisis. As more than 60 percent of China's economy depends on imports and exports, the worsening global economy and contracted overseas demand have already brought "worse-than-anticipated" risks of an economic downturn to China, Zhang said. "Sliding economic growth is a major challenge for us both this year and next." China's economic growth slowed to 9.9 percent in the first nine months, after five years of high annual growth of more than 10 percent.
The State Council said earlier that the economy may grow at 9.4 or 9.5 percent this year. The economic slowdown and fall in profits have spread from coastal regions to central and western China, from export-led companies to other industries and from small and medium-sized enterprises to bigger companies, Zhang said. "The worsening trend is likely to continue next year," he said. He urged all parties to be clear-minded about the situation at home and abroad, and be prepared to face the challenges. Despite some pundits saying the world will shake off the turmoil by the end of next year, Zhang is not so optimistic. "The worsening turmoil is likely to last for a long time and the global economy will experience a relatively long period of downturn and adjustment," he said.
The first Global Think Tank Summit will be held in Beijing from July 2-4, where close to 100 top-notch think tanks from home and abroad will be represented, including the Brookings Institution.
Main Forum
International Financial and Economic Crisis and Global Economic OutlookSub-Forums
I: Promoting Trade Liberalization and Investment Facilitation II: Sustainable Development and Macro-economic Policies III: Cooperation and Responsibilities of Multinationals during the Financial and Economic Crisis IV: Global Consumption, Savings and Financial Security V: Idea Exchange with Global Think Tanks on Key Economic IssuesAgenda
Afternoon of July 2 - Opening Ceremony July 3 - Main Forum July 4 - Parallel Sub-Forums |
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