Earthquake won't have major impact on China's economy
Updated: 2008-05-13 19:43
BEIJING -- The quake that shook the earth in southwest China was not likely to have a major impact on the national economy, experts said on Tuesday.
The earthquake would only affect economic activity "in limited areas and some local industries in the short term," said Feng Fei, deputy director of the Research Department of Industrial Economy at the Development Research Center of the State Council (cabinet).
He said in an interview with Xinhua that it would have a much smaller influence on the economy than the winter storms that dragged down first-quarter economic growth and drove up prices.
"Similar problems to those of the snow storms may occur but won't be so serious," said Feng.
Southwest Securities analyst Xie Xuecheng said the quake could worsen China's already high inflationary pressure. The consumer price index rose 8.5 percent year-on-year in April.
Since Sichuan is a major producer of grains and hogs, the grain supply might be affected, while transportation constraints involving hogs might drive up national pork prices, said Xie.
"Marked price rises are unlikely as transportation to Sichuan was only partly affected," said Galaxy Securities analyst Li Feng.
Li's view was echoed by Feng, who told Xinhua the quake would not shake the general balance of supply and demand for major commodities and energy.
"Unlike what happened during the winter, not many large enterprises are located in the disaster-stricken areas," said Feng.
Sichuan is a major source of natural gas, but most of its natural gas fields -- like its hog farms -- are in its southern half, while the quake epicenter was located in the province's north.
The Ministry of Agriculture said on Tuesday that agricultural losses from the quake "should not be underestimated" and it urged local officials to ensure supply and strengthen market monitoring of grains and fresh food.
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