日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / China Development Forum

'Rebalancing and renormalization' are center of challenge

By Zheng Yangpeng (China Daily) Updated: 2015-03-21 08:02

As Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times, talked with China Daily, the US Federal Reserve was about to publish its statement and the world was watching to see if the Fed would raise interest rates.

Anticipation of rate hikes has pushed up the value of the US dollar. The yuan has already been weakening against the dollar for a while, and economists have talked about the risk of a capital outflow.

Wolf said that even if the Fed decides to raise rates, probably in the summer or early fall, interest rates would remain quite low for a long period and "the exchange rate can't be used as a major way to reignite growth in China".

"It's been my view for a very long time that China is too big to be on the basis of an export-led growth," he said.

One of the world's most influential writers on economic matters, Wolf is also an avid reader of the Chinese economy. He believes the problems confronting the country are almost entirely domestic, and not external.

The centerpiece of the challenge, he said, is that China is engaged in a very complicated "rebalancing and renormalization" of its economy, which is more complicated and difficult than expected.

As the economy slows from 30 years of 10-plus percent growth to 7 percent, to make that work in a stable manner requires a very major shift in the pattern of spending and income distribution toward households and consumption, he said.

China has to "make some sensible compromise" between the goals of growth and deleveraging. That is not necessarily an "either, or" trade-off, but "maybe in the end the growth will slow a bit, and the debt will rise a little more. We've seen in the Western world that getting growth back with a shrinking debt is quite difficult. It will be difficult for China too.

"I personally think the challenges China's economy now confronts are possibly the most difficult challenge since the reform and opening-up began," he said.

In order to achieve its target of around 7 percent growth, China will have to "restart the investment-led and the debt-fueled growth model", and that would not be sustainable.

"While you can get 7 percent growth this year, the cost of achieving that growth next year will be even larger," he said.

If everything goes well, it will take about a decade until China becomes an economy in which consumption takes a much larger share, and growth is led by innovation and competitive private enterprises.

In that decade, there will be a few difficult years when growth is below target, he said, but that "need not to be a catastrophe as long as reform and adjustment happens."

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久久久久久久久97 | 国产精品永久免费 | 日本不卡一区二区三区四区 | 男女同房做爰123 | 国产精品3 | 成人激情在线视频 | 超碰98在线观看 | 麻豆成人在线观看 | 亚洲欧美国产高清va在线播放 | 国产欧美自拍 | 国产v片在线观看 | 久久久久久久久久久久国产 | 国产成人免费观看 | 亚洲在线免费观看视频 | 天天草影院| 精品免费一区二区 | 欧美精品在线一区 | 亚洲午夜av | 999视频在线 | 成人小视频在线免费观看 | 国产极品网站 | 亚洲一区 在线播放 | www在线看 | 国产精品久久久久久久久果冻传媒 | 黄色成人在线播放 | 午夜影皖| 国产日韩在线观看视频 | 亚洲精品成人在线 | 在线免费观看中文字幕 | 亚洲在线观看av | 黄色香蕉网 | 二区在线观看 | 亚洲男人的天堂网 | 亚洲一级黄色录像 | 色偷偷综合网 | 在线观看国产成人 | 国产操女人 | 男人的天堂影院 | 日韩三级av | 日本亚洲色图 | 香蕉视频官网 |