日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Markets

Market meltdown is not that dramatic

(Agencies) Updated: 2015-08-28 10:07

Losing $5 trillion in China's equity-market rout in just two months is bad. But measured by the intensity of the price swings, the sell-off still fails to stand out among past market meltdowns.

China has the world's most volatile stocks right now after Greece, yet the fluctuations are 30 percent lower than the average of six financial market crashes, including the ones in 1929 in the United States, Japan in the early 1990s and Thailand in 1997.

The 43 percent decline so far in the Shanghai Composite Index looks modest when compared with a 78 percent peak-to-bottom retreat during the bursting of the dotcom bubble in 2000 and an 84 percent slump in the Russian market following the 1998 default.

While the declines have destroyed wealth equivalent to the combined economic output of Germany and Italy, and forced unprecedented government intervention, the fallout is unlikely to be as severe as other global economic debacles.

Most of the previous stock frenzies were caused by banking crises and debt defaults, China's stock slump is largely a price adjustment to a frothy valuation following a more than 150 percent surge.

"The big distinction is that there is a market correction in China, but there is no financial crisis," said David Loevinger, a former China specialist at the US Treasury who is now an analyst at fund manager TCW Group Inc in Los Angeles.

The economic impact will be limited because the stock market, dominated by individual investors, plays only a marginal role for companies to raise funds, according to Loevinger. Equities accounted for about 3 percent of total financing this year, compared with 67 percent from bank lending, according to data from the People's Bank of China, the central bank.

The Shanghai Composite Index has lost more than 20 percent over the past week, the steepest decline since 1996, deepening the two-month rout on concern that valuations are unjustified by the worsening economic outlook.

The stock benchmark's 60-day historical volatility, a measure of the price swings, has surged to an 18-year high of 58 percent, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

While the turmoil is still unfolding and the speed of the sell-off has been swift, the magnitude is less than other major crises.

Russia's Micex Index tumbled over a 12-month period as volatility jumped to 154 percent in October 1998, two months after President Boris Yeltsin's administration defaulted on $40 billion of rouble debt.

Clem Miller, an investment strategist at Wilmington Trust, said the Chinese market turmoil is similar to the burst of the dotcom bubble - a financial market correction with limited economic damage.

"We do not believe there will be a significant negative impact on the Chinese economy," he said.

The Shanghai Composite's history since trading began in 1990 has been marked by extreme swings. The gauge surged fivefold between the end of 2005 and its peak in October 2007, before tumbling 72 percent through November 2008. The measure doubled in less than a year from the 2008 low, then lost more than 40 percent by June 2013.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日韩免费视频一区二区视频在线观看 | 999久久久久久久久6666 | 三级毛毛片 | 国产欧美一级 | 国产精品久久久999 成人激情视频在线 | 在线日韩一区二区 | 欧美性生交大片免费看 | 一区二区视频在线观看 | 一区二区三区在线免费观看视频 | 中文字幕不卡在线观看 | 麻豆av在线播放 | 国产成人自拍视频在线观看 | 日韩欧美激情 | 国产欧美网站 | 8x国产一区二区三区精品推荐 | 亚洲男人第一天堂 | 国产精品久久久久久亚洲毛片 | av日韩中文字幕 | 亚洲欧洲日韩 | 亚洲色图网址 | 免费中文视频 | 亚洲一级黄色 | 久久久夜夜夜 | 可以在线观看的av | www在线观看视频 | 亚洲免费视频网站 | 青青操影院 | 天天综合网久久综合网 | 精品成人一区二区三区 | 日韩一级高清 | 亚洲影视一区 | 黄色h视频 | 超碰超碰超碰超碰 | 亚洲精选在线 | 五月婷婷丁香在线 | 欧美视频一二三 | 大伊香蕉 | 亚洲三级网 | 99精品小视频| 欧美在线看片 | 久久久国产精品免费 |