日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Policy Watch

Deflation 'may force central bank's hand'

By CHEN JIA (China Daily) Updated: 2014-12-11 07:27

Deflation 'may force central bank's hand'

Further easing in consumer inflation and accelerating industrial deflation in November reflect stagnation in the world's second-largest economy, and that may push the central bank to cut banks' required reserve ratios as a means of easing liquidity and stabilizing growth, market observers said on Wednesday.

They said that China's top leaders may discuss a reduction in the 2015 Consumer Price Index target to 3 percent, from 3.5 percent this year, during the Central Economic Work Conference in Beijing. A statement will be issued when the meeting ends on Thursday.

The comments followed a report by the National Bureau of Statistics, which said that the CPI edged down to 1.4 percent year-on-year in November from 1.6 percent in October, the lowest level since December 2009.

Warm weather and adequate supplies pushed food prices down 0.4 percent month-on-month.

The cost of items in the CPI basket other than food slid 0.1 percent from October, the first drop in three months, as global oil prices weakened.

"Consumer prices may remain low, and the full-year CPI is expected to be 2 percent, much lower than the 3.5 percent target," said Lian Ping, chief economist at Bank of Communications Co Ltd.

"The CPI may continue to ease next year."

The NBS also said that the Producer Price Index sank 2.7 percent year-on-year in November, the largest decline since July 2013. The index has been negative for 33 consecutive months-the longest period of deflation in 30 years.

Deepening industrial deflation is difficult to curb in the short term, experts said, because the prices of raw materials, including oil and natural gas, may remain soft around the world.

Liu Ligang, chief economist in China at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd, said that the central bank is likely to cut required reserve ratios by year-end to curtail deflation risks.

"The weak PPI means Chinese enterprises are struggling amid the economic slowdown. Their profits will drop further as their debts surge," said Liu.

The People's Bank of China, the central bank, cut the benchmark interest rates in November. But the cuts were asymmetric, and deposit interest rates and interbank market rates remain high.

"That means the effect of the rate cuts is weak, and the central bank must cut the reserve ratio more than once to ensure that the monetary policy is effective," Liu said.

He forecast three RRR cuts of 50 basis points each in 2015.

Strong headwinds from the property market correction, overcapacity in upstream industries and high local government debt are the main causes of the slowdown.

"Increasing deflationary pressure in China will push up real interest rates and compel more rate cuts," said Wang Tao, chief economist in China at UBS AG.

"We expect at least two more cuts in benchmark lending rates totaling 50 basis points by end-2015, and we see the central bank continuing to provide sufficient liquidity to keep the money market rates low.

"Rate cuts are key in driving down debt service burdens, improving corporate cash flow and reducing financial risk by slowing the pace of nonperforming loan formation. We do not see these measures as having a significant stimulative impact on credit and GDP growth," she said.

 

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 在线观看国产欧美 | 在线观看亚洲欧美 | 性xxxx视频播放免费 | 日韩高清一区二区 | av片网址| 日韩激情网址 | av毛片网 | 日韩视频精品 | 四虎影院在线免费播放 | 亚洲精品一区二三区 | 国产精品色视频 | 黄色av影院| 欧美一区二区三区不卡 | 日韩成人一级片 | 国产黄色片在线 | 日本h视频在线观看 | 一区二区视频在线 | 浴室偷拍美女洗澡456在线 | 99国产精品99久久久久久粉嫩 | 免费日韩在线 | 亚洲欧洲自拍 | 成年人的黄色 | 日本一区久久 | 亚洲激情一区二区 | 四虎黄色网址 | 成人在线免费观看视频 | 久天堂 | 日韩一区二区在线观看视频 | 欧美色涩 | 国产精品欧美激情 | 男女瑟瑟 | 国产精品久久久久久久9999 | 国产美女在线观看 | 久久黄视频 | 五月婷婷激情五月 | 欧美粗又大 | 日韩免费精品视频 | 日韩欧美国产高清 | 午夜天堂精品 | 义姐是不良妈妈在线观看 | 女人高潮特级毛片 |