日批在线视频_内射毛片内射国产夫妻_亚洲三级小视频_在线观看亚洲大片短视频_女性向h片资源在线观看_亚洲最大网

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / View

Emerging market prospects

By Louis Kuijs | China Daily | Updated: 2013-09-06 07:05

With controls on many forms of financial capital, China did not see major inflows of capital triggered by QE. As a result, there is not much of mobile foreign financial capital that wants to retreat from China. The Chinese economy saw an apparent sizeable net outflow of financial capital in 2012 and a substantial inflow in the first half of 2013. But the bulk of that was actually carried out by Chinese enterprises - making use of the arbitrage opportunities offered by the internationalization of the yuan - rather than being international money.

This does not mean that economies such as China would not feel the impact of further turmoil in emerging markets. Growth of global demand and exports could suffer if the withdrawal of foreign capital from other emerging markets weakens their growth.

Where do we go from here? We cannot rule out further turbulence in the financial market. Emerging Asian economies have stronger macro fundamentals now and are better prepared for capital outflows than they were during earlier crises. In addition to stronger current account positions, debt service indicators are substantially less intimidating. Exchange rates are also more flexible now and central banks have larger foreign currency reserves.

However, the prospect of reduction in global liquidity and higher interest rates could still lead to further corrections in portfolios, and financial markets are prone to overreact and overshoot.

What should Asian policymakers do to best manage the shift to tougher global monetary conditions and mitigate the impact? They would do better to limit the size of current account deficits and keep the macroeconomic position sustainable, basically by avoiding expansionary macro policies. Growth remains the key, but it should be stimulated by growth- and productivity-enhancing structural reforms, not by expansionary policies.

As to the entry of foreign capital, in principle, there is nothing wrong with it. However, foreign capital that flows into a country because of its growth potential poses less risk than capital that rushes in to reap short-term financial gain. This means it pays to remain open to and attract foreign direct investment by maintaining a good investment climate.

Governments should also work to reassure markets of long-term stability. On the other hand, it is best not to rely too much on financial capital inflows, which could well call for introduction of sensible forms of capital controls at times. Indeed, for China, this episode underscores the need for exercising caution when it comes to financial reform and opening up the capital account.

Finally, what could the region do in terms of mutual financial assistance? The past decade saw the rollout of many bilateral swap lines and other arrangements. During the global financial crisis of 2008-09 they were not used as often as they should have. Therefore, it would be useful to ensure the existing arrangements are used in times of need and make room for more such arrangements.

The author is an economist with Royal Bank of Scotland.

 

Previous 1 2 Next

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 久久久久久精 | 青青在线视频 | 性久久久久久 | 日韩一区二区三区四区 | 香蕉av777xxx色综合一区 | 国产区91| 日韩高清国产一区在线 | 亚洲视频在线播放 | 在线播放日韩av | 日韩视频国产 | 成人激情小视频 | 欧美精品第一页 | 欧美日韩在线视频免费播放 | 大学生三级中国dvd 亚洲www在线观看 | 久久国产免费观看 | 免费亚洲婷婷 | www.992tv| 日日嗷 | 黄色一级大片免费看 | 四虎影院免费 | 日韩精品视频网 | 懂色av一区二区三区四区 | 欧美在线中文 | 国产精品原创 | 婷婷亚洲天堂 | 五月天综合网 | 丁香激情综合 | 国产精品久久免费视频 | 一级aaa毛片| 日本在线一级片 | 中文字幕高清在线观看 | 欧美a区 | 久久98 | 黄色国产视频网站 | 伊人天堂av | 日韩一二三区视频 | 久久综合久 | 美女久久久久 | 在线欧美一区 | 国产视频在线免费观看 | 中文字幕在线观看国产 |