On March 10, Donald Trump softened his tone, saying talks with Iran were possible. However, Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi has already ruled out talks, calling past negotiations with Washington a "bitter experience". The battlefield dynamics have flipped. Why? Iran may not win militarily — but it may win the math of war.

The cost asymmetry is staggering.
In the first 36 hours of the war:
? The US and Israel reportedly fired 3,000+ precision munitions and interceptor missiles.
? Estimated cost: $5–6 billion
Meanwhile:
? Iran launches Shahed-type drones.
? Cost per drone: $20,000–$50,000
To shoot them down:
? Patriot interceptors: $3–4 million each
? THAAD interceptors: $12+ million each
That means every interception becomes a losing economic trade.

Then there's the Strait of Hormuz.
As tensions rise, markets are reacting fast:
? Oil prices briefly exceeded $100 per barrel.
? Global energy markets are already rattled.
And this matters politically in the US:
A spike in gasoline prices often translates directly into falling support for the ruling party.

From Trump's shifting rhetoric to Wright's deleted post, one thing is clear: a war increasingly seen as serving Israel's interests may be too costly for the United States to sustain.